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  • The UK government's unexpectedly large reduction in the Ogden discount rate last week has brought into focus Lloyd's concerns about reserving in the motor insurance market.
  • The cut in the Ogden rate could trigger rate increases of more than 20 percent in wider casualty reinsurance lines, market sources told The Insurance Insider.
  • The decision of Lord Chancellor and Justice Secretary Liz Truss to push the discount rate to minus 0.75 percent stems from a 1999 House of Lords ruling that predates the dotcom crash, the subsequent bull market and the ensuing credit crisis - and that critics say has little relevance today.
  • Insurers are hoping for a short stay in negative discount rate purgatory as a consultation with Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond gets underway.
  • The impact of the Ogden rate change will be more unevenly distributed through the reinsurance market than many other losses, with some reinsurers having bet heavily on UK motor reinsurance while others eschewed the market entirely.
  • Never underestimate the ability of even the best-intentioned authorities to mess things up.
  • UK excess-of-loss (XoL) motor reinsurers are targeting rate rises of 50 percent off the back of a projected £5bn ($6n) hit from changes to the Ogden rate, as they look to secure rapid payback after the shock loss.
  • UK insurers are hoping for a relatively quiet Budget on 8 March, following a year of disruption caused by Brexit, hikes in the insurance premium tax (IPT) and the Ogden rate upset, according to major consultancies.
  • Legacy companies do not belong in the public markets.
  • Insurance executives expect prices in Middle Eastern commercial lines insurance to stable or harden over the next year, a survey of regional carriers has found.