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The storm is now forecast to become a major hurricane by Tuesday night. This morning’s advisory update had estimated that Idalia would reach major hurricane status by early Wednesday.
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A major hurricane in any section of Florida that extends into the Southeast states is likely a “multi-billion-dollar” insurance industry event, according to the broker.
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The estimate includes privately insured damage to residential, commercial and industrial property, as well as automobiles. Boats, offshore properties and NFIP losses were excluded.
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Idalia is forecast to become a hurricane later today and a dangerous major hurricane over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by early Wednesday.
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The estimate is based on the impact to approximately 200 structures where RLI provided primarily homeowners’ insurance.
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However minor an irritant these losses are for global carriers, their impact is likely to have an outsized influence on the narrative heading into the 1 January renewals.
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Earlier this afternoon, San Diego County issued a tropical storm warning related to Hilary – the first in its history.
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The development in reconstruction costs and contingent BI claims may put the ultimate sum beyond current estimates.
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The carrier was originally in the market for extra capacity at January 1 before pulling plans.
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Most forecasters now predict above-average storm activity for the Atlantic as a result of record-high sea-surface temperatures.
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Tens of thousands of people have been evacuated from the island, and nearly 14,000 Maui residents remain without power.
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The hammering of hailstorm losses that US homeowners’ carriers reported for H1 will drive positive change in property markets.