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The catastrophe loss aggregator delivers its final tally for insured property losses from the storm.
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The storm is on track to hit the northern tip of Japan's Honshu island and the south of Hokkaido island.
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Morgan Stanley predicts multiple catastrophes could push industry losses over the historical Q3 average of $13bn
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The ratings agency says losses are likely to extend beyond retentions for the big three.
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The estimate equates to 6.4 percent of shareholder equity.
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The rating agency gives the parent company an investment grade issuer score.
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A bridge and hotel are among the landmarks reduced to rubble as rescue efforts continue.
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The storm is expected to strengthen to a Category 3 after hitting Okinawa tomorrow.
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Japan's second typhoon in a month is due to hit Okinawa on Saturday.
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AIR’s Mangkhut loss forecast had more exclusions than the liability cover of an ageing US sitcom star.
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The range excludes losses including business interruption and auto claims in mainland China.
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Hong Kong looks set to bear the brunt of the cost, which could match or exceed the $6.8bn wrought by Hato, according to RMS and AIR executives.